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Weekly Report - 20 February 2014 (WR-14-07)

ECUADOR: Correa faces double defeat in elections

President Rafael Correa is in the rare position of facing an electoral setback. When Correa won approval to take leave of absence in January in order to play an active role in the campaign ahead of municipal elections on 23 February, he was motivated by the desire to win the coastal city of Guayaquil for his ruling Alianza País (AP) from the longstanding opposition mayor, Jaime Nebot. But just days before the elections, not only does Nebot hold a large lead over the AP candidate, Viviana Bonilla, in opinion polls but Correa is also suddenly staring at a serious reverse in Quito, where the incumbent AP mayor, Augusto Barrera, has let slip a substantial lead. Correa has surged to Barrera’s rescue, warning voters that his defeat could bring the “citizen’s revolution” crashing down.

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