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Security & Strategic Review - January 2015 (ISSN 1741-4202)

Northern Triangle: two improvements, one reversal

Of the three countries of Central America’s Northern Triangle (Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador), two have reported a continuing decline in their homicide rates last year. Honduras’s downward trend, in its third successive year, has — if unofficial data for Venezuela is accurate — lost its unwanted status as the world leader in homicide. Guatemala has achieved five successive years of decline, under two administrations. The third Northern Triangle country, El Salvador, has reversed the brief decline achieved during the ‘truce’ agreed in 2012 by leading street gangs.

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