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Security & Strategic Review - April 2015 (ISSN 1741-4202)

MEXICO: Downward trend seen as having stalled

After two-and-a-half years of decline, the number of homicides in Mexico has stopped falling. In the first two months of this year, in two of the four states President Enrique Peña Nieto designated as public security priorities — Tamaulipas and Jalisco — they were actually higher than a year earlier. The rise in Tamaulipas has been caused mainly by factional fighting within the Cártel del Golfo (CDG); in Jalisco it reflects the escalation of major armed actions by the Cártel de Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG) against rival gangs and the law enforcement agencies. In both states, an outstanding feature of the surge has been the cartel’s willingness to ‘take on’ the security forces.

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