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Weekly Report - 06 August 2015 (WR-15-31)
ARGENTINA: What to look for in the primaries
Above all else, the open simultaneous and compulsory primary elections (Paso) in Argentina will provide a strong indication of whether Daniel Scioli, the presidential candidate for the ruling Frente para la Victoria (FPV) faction of the Partido Justicialista (PJ, Peronists) can win outright in the first round. An opinion poll by Poliarquía published on 2 August suggested he will attract 37.6% support, with his closest rival, Mauricio Macri from the centre-right opposition Propuesta Republicana (PRO) winning 30.7%. To win in the first round in the presidential elections on 25 October, Scioli needs 45% of the vote or 40% with a 10-point advantage over his nearest rival.
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