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Andean Group - October 2015 (ISSN 1741-4466)

ECONOMY: Growth downgrades coming thick and fast

The government led by President Rafael Correa is steeling itself for a very difficult year. The economy slumped to post growth of a meagre 1% year-on-year in the second quarter, according to figures released by Ecuador’s central bank (BCE) on the final day of September. Not since Correa came to power in 2007 has quarterly growth been so low. It moved the BCE to revise down its GDP growth forecast for 2015 to a paltry 0.4%. As one commentator noted acerbically, annual GDP growth is being revised downwards faster than ‘Dhruv’ helicopters are falling out of the skies (see next story).

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