A rapid series of events has left Colombia’s security outlook finely balanced. On 26 September the government signed a 295-page peace agreement with the country’s oldest and most powerful rebel group, the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Farc). On 2 October that agreement was unexpectedly and narrowly rejected in a national referendum vote: 50.21% said ‘no’ to the peace terms, against 49.78% who voted ‘yes’. On 7 October President Juan Manuel Santos was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his work on a settlement the viability of which now appeared to hang in doubt. It is not yet clear how the crisis will play out. Here we look at the security implications and the role that could be played in a volatile situation by the Farc, the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN), and the drug-trafficking and criminal organisations such as the bacrims (‘bandas criminales’). End of preview - This article contains approximately 2191 words.
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