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Weekly Report - 06 April 2017 (WR-17-13)

VENEZUELA: Politics on a cliff edge

After a dramatic week in Venezuela that saw the international community declare a constitutional rupture, there appears no end in sight to the brinkmanship between the supreme court (TSJ) and the opposition-controlled national assembly. Now that regional attention is on Venezuela, some radical opposition factions may be determined to prod the government led by President Nicolás Maduro into violent overreach – thereby triggering a stronger external reaction. For Maduro, it continues to suit him politically to rail at an external conspiracy against his administration. In this zero-sum standoff, the prospect of dialogue and compromise appears almost impossible, and the risk of violence acute.

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