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Security & Strategic Review - February 2018 (ISSN 1741-4202)
Guyana-Venezuela: Tension on the border
Following the referral by UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres of the Guyana-Venezuela territorial dispute to the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on 30 January, a number of commentators have raised the possibility of a Venezuelan military incursion to seize Guyanese territory. No one can deny that the Venezuelan regime headed by President Nicolás Maduro has a tendency to disregard legal propriety, certainly at home, when it suits it to do so. But a military move to seize Guyanese territory would risk regime survival, and for as long as some level of rationality pertains in Caracas a military adventure against Guyana would seem unlikely – not least because Brazil and the United States have been sending out warning signals to Venezuela that no one in Caracas is likely to dismiss as mere bluster.
- How to cope with the growing wave of Venezuelan migrants
- Region: Mixed picture on homicide rates
- Peru: Security alert over mining-related conflict
- Peru: International court assesses Fujimori’s pardon
- Peru: Of art and terrorism
- Brazil: Temer orders army takeover in Rio
- Uruguay: Targeted by foreign criminal gangs
- Mexico: Small win in struggle against money laundering
- Mexico: What will they do about corruption?
- Guatemala: Departure of top officials prompts transparency concerns
- Honduras: Maccih in crisis
- Guyana-Venezuela: Tension on the border
- POINTERS