Following the referral by UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres of the Guyana-Venezuela territorial dispute to the International Court of Justice (ICJ) on 30 January, a number of commentators have raised the possibility of a Venezuelan military incursion to seize Guyanese territory. No one can deny that the Venezuelan regime headed by President Nicolás Maduro has a tendency to disregard legal propriety, certainly at home, when it suits it to do so. But a military move to seize Guyanese territory would risk regime survival, and for as long as some level of rationality pertains in Caracas a military adventure against Guyana would seem unlikely – not least because Brazil and the United States have been sending out warning signals to Venezuela that no one in Caracas is likely to dismiss as mere bluster.End of preview - This article contains approximately 964 words.
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