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Weekly Report - 22 August 2019 (WR-19-33)

Colorado comeback or Bolsonaro’s political twin?

Uruguay’s general elections on 27 October promise to be the most closely contested in a generation as the ruling left-wing Frente Amplio (FA) coalition’s stranglehold on power since 2005 loosens. What finally got the FA over the line for the first time back then was the financial crisis in Argentina in 2002 and the havoc it wreaked in Uruguay. The traditional Partido Colorado (PC), which was in power at the time, has been a distant third in the opinion polls ever since, its reputation for economic competence in tatters. But this could be about to change. The latest polls show the PC surging into contention. In an ironic twist this comes as a new Argentine financial crisis is taking its toll on the incumbent party, this time the FA, two months before the first round of presidential elections in which former army commander Guido Manini Ríos, who has some striking similarities to Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro, also looks set to play a big part.

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