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Security & Strategic Review - April 2014 (ISSN 1741-4202)
Peru’s return as top cocaine producer brings back the ‘balloon effect’
The ‘balloon effect’ in which a squeeze on one part of the regional drugs trade produces an expansion elsewhere, has not only been recorded recently in the shifts between different trafficking routes and methods, but on a far larger scale in the reorientation of flows and processing patterns that has followed the squeeze on Colombian cocaine output and the re-emergence of Peru as the country with the greatest potential production. Two new traffic flows have developed, one southward via Bolivia, the other northward via Colombia.
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