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Security & Strategic Review - December 2016 (ISSN 1741-4202)

The threat to peace from organised crime

As the Colombian government perseveres with its attempt to achieve a lasting peace settlement with the left wing guerrillas of the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Farc), there is a continuing national security threat from another quarter: organised crime. The nightmare scenario is that the hundreds of small and not-so-small criminal groups active in the country (known as bandas criminals or bacrims) will expand to occupy the spaces previously controlled by Farc and by the other main rebel group, the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN), which is also involved in peace talks. Here we look at potential future scenarios.

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