'Brazil above everything, God above all'
Bolsonaro’s assurances on the economy, corruption and violent crime were a direct response to Brazil’s biggest problems. They convinced a number of voters in October 2018 and have helped him maintain a reasonable level of support throughout his first year in office. But Bolsonaro’s most staunch supporters buy into a different narrative, a common thread that cut across all these pledges, and more: his promise to return Brazil to moral rectitude by fighting dangerous left-wing ideology.
This promise has been repeatedly conveyed throughout his first year in office in his bellicose rhetoric; his dismissal of anything remotely leftist as the scourge of communism; his admiration for Brazil’s military dictatorship (1964-1985); and his apparent delight in causing offence and outrage amongst those who espouse liberal social values, with the kind of sexist, racist, homophobic, and authoritarian statements for which he was known before 2018.
Hopes that Bolsonaro would moderate his discourse and settle into a more statesmanlike posture have been repeatedly dashed over the course of the year. Each provocative tweet or statement is usually followed by a retraction minimising the controversy, but it is more than mere noise. The ebb and flow of scandal keeps hardline ‘bolsonaristas’ fired up; culture wars have paralysed certain government ministries and their work; and some of Bolsonaro’s moralistic judgements and opinions have trickled down into government policy in a number of sectors, most notably education and foreign policy.
‘Brasil acima de tudo, Deus acima de todos’ was Bolsonaro’s campaign slogan, capturing his promise to return Brazil to greatness and uphold traditional Christian values. This found resonance amongst the conservative parts of a Brazilian society divided by culture wars. He has the support of Evangelicals, a demographic which has grown in size and influence over the past three decades. Evangelical Christians now make up an estimated 31% of the population and the evangelical parliamentary bloc in congress is composed of 195 deputies (out of 513) and eight senators (out of 81).
Education, gender politics, and abortion are some of the issues on which the evangelical lobby is pushing its so-called ‘traditions agenda’. An ultra-conservative education project known as the ‘escola sem partido’, which would seek to end supposed indoctrination in schools, has been contained by congress. But Brazil, where social conservatism has tended to cohabitate with a culture of tolerance, is undergoing a cultural shift. In his study of middle-class Bolsonaro voters who are just above the poverty threshold, Barbosa from the USP has observed a reactionary pushback against affirmative action measures like racial quotas in public universities (introduced in 2012) and the recent social rights gains of minority groups such as members of the LGBTQ+ community – an opinion these bolsonaristas are not ashamed to voice.