Andean Group - December 2007 (ISSN 1741 4466)
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW: VENEZUELA
The central bank, still independent thanks to the result of the referendum on constitutional reform on 2 December, increased interest rates by one percentage point on 3 December to try to slow down the economy. It is now paying banks 11% for one-month money and 12% for two-month money. The central bank is also going to allow commercial banks, who are swimming in Bolívares thanks to the strength of oil prices and the effects of exchange controls, to deposit Bolívares in dollar denominated accounts from 21 January 2008. This may be the first step at easing exchange controls and should allow excess Bolívares in the domestic economy to escape, thus reducing inflation. Currently the black market rate for the dollar is B$6,000. The official rate is B$2,150.
Inflation: Consumer prices rose by 4.4% in November, the highest monthly rate for four and a half years. This pushed the annual inflation rate to over 20.7%.
GDP growth: The economy grew by 8.7%, year-on-year in the third quarter, according to the central bank. The country's total GDP is now around US$200bn. The central bank noted that the public sector is growing much faster than the private sector. In the third quarter growth in the private sector was 5.5% while the pubic sector expanded by 12.7% year-on-year. The non-oil sector expanded by 9.7%.