Weekly Report - 16 March 2017 (WR-17-10)

Lenín Moreno, the presidential candidate for the ruling left-wing Alianza País (AP), has established a decisive lead over Guillermo Lasso, his rival from the centre-right Movimiento Creo, ahead of the second round of elections on 2 April, according to several opinion polls published in recent days. None of these polls have the reputation of Cedatos, which forecast a narrow win for Lasso in a poll conducted shortly after the first round on 19 February (two were commissioned by overtly pro-government media), but there is reason to believe that Moreno might have overhauled Lasso.