CourcyInt

INTELLIGENCE RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS

TO: All Strategic Intelligence Forum members

DATE: 4 May 2007

The Strategic Intelligence Forum is part of the Intelligence Research group, and as a member of the Strategic Intelligence Forum I am very pleased to send you from time to time a selection of reports published recently by Intelligence Research Ltd that I consider to be of particular STRATEGIC significance. Please find below my latest selection of Intelligence Research articles:

1. LATIN AMERICA: Interstate conflict a thing of the past? - Latin American Special Report, April 2007

SUMMARY: It has become almost a cliché that interstate armed conflict in Latin America is a thing of the past. The last war between Latin American countries (Ecuador against Peru) took place took place 22 years ago; the one before that (El Salvador against Honduras), 38 years ago. In between there were three armed confrontations involving extra-regional powers, which are usually not counted. However, the region has 18 unsettled inter-state disputes, and over the past 20 years eight of them involved sabre-rattling, deployment or use of military force. The most widely held view is that the region has found a way to contain these disputes. This report takes a hard look at this assumption...

Link to full article: http://www.latinnews.com/lsr/secure/iscil.pdf

2. CHINA: The illusion of liberalisation - ChinaWatch Monthly Review, May 2007

SUMMARY: April was a month full of mixed messages regarding the government’s willingness to open up. Signs that it was ready to increase official transparency, ease censorship, and be more receptive to the public were offset by new restrictions on newspapers and the internet, evidence of continued religious repression, and an increased reliance on the use of force to quell unrest...

Link to full article: http://www.asiaint.com/arl/arl13850.asp

NOTE: Links to these - and other - reports can also be found in the Strategic Intelligence Monitoring Centre, which you may access on a 24/7 basis by going to www.stratintforum.com, logging in as a member, and selecting the Strategic Intelligence Monitoring Centre option.

With best regards

JKC de Courcy
Chairman
Strategic Intelligence Forum

P.S. You may sign up for a free evaluation of any Intelligence Research Ltd services by visiting the following websites, or you may contact our Business Development Director: [email protected].

www.intelligenceresearch.com
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www.asiaint.com
www.latinnews.com