Back

Weekly Report - 9 September 2003

Tracking trends...

ECONOMIC GROWTH | Private economists see a slowdown. The consensus of private economists regularly surveyed by the central bank is that economic growth this year will only reach 1.73%, rather than the 2.02% they predicted in July. The good news is that they see the rate picking up towards the end of the year: they predict growth of 1.64% in the third quarter and 2.63% in the fourth. In their view, the acceleration will continue, though not very vigorously, into next year, when overall growth will be 3.54%.

EMPLOYMENT | Job losses mount in maquiladora sector. At the end of June, 1.08m people were employed in Mexico's 3,229 maquila plants. As the newspaper Reforma points out, this is more than a quarter of a million fewer than in November 2000, the month before the Fox administration took office. Most of the job losses were in the northern border states: Baja California (-74,485), Chihuahua (-70,811), Sonora (-38,623), Tamaulipas (-22,218) and Nuevo León (-18,105). 

The Consejo Nacional de la Industria Maquiladora de Exportación says this is mainly due to the relocation of assembly industries abroad; many to China, but also to other Latin American countries like Brazil, Costa Rica and Nicaragua.

BLACK ECONOMY | Informal sector produces more than farming. In 2001, Mexico's informal economy produced goods and services worth M$663bn (US$60.8bn), or just over three times as much as agriculture. The figure comes from a guesstimate made by the national statistical institute, Inegi, which also reckons that the profits of the informal sector are equivalent to 17.4% of those of the formal economy. The black economy's labour costs, says Inegi, amount to only 8.5% of total income, as against 20.6% in the formal economy.

End of preview - This article contains approximately 298 words.

Subscribers: Log in now to read the full article

Not a Subscriber?

Choose from one of the following options

LatinNews
Intelligence Research Ltd.
167-169 Great Portland Street,
5th floor,
London, W1W 5PF - UK
Phone : +44 (0) 203 695 2790
Contact
You may contact us via our online contact form
Copyright © 2022 Intelligence Research Ltd. All rights reserved.