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Caribbean & Central America - October 2011 (ISSN 1741-4458)

Few certainties as Guatemala heads for second round

As expected, former General Otto Pérez Molina of the main opposition Partido Patriota (PP) will face populist Manuel Baldizón of Libertad Democrática Renovada (Líder) in the 6 November second round. Less expected was Pérez Molina’s relatively poor performance in the 11 September first round, given what polls had predicted. This, together with Baldizón’s subsequent procurement of a multi-party alliance, which includes the ruling Unidad Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE), whose strong performance in the concurrent legislative and municipal vote was another surprise, suggests the run-off is a far from foregone conclusion.

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