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Weekly Report - 19 March 2008 (ISSN 1741-7422)

MEXICO: PRD splits help government

President Felipe Calderón Hinojosa has had a difficult start to 2008. The main reason for his and his government's difficulties has been that the radical leftwing leader, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, has recovered the political initiative. López Obrador lost the initiative by persisting with his street protests, about the unfairness of the 2006 elections and the illegitimacy of Calderón's government, for far too long. Calderón's dramatic use of the army to fight organised crime in 2007 gave him and his government momentum and authority. Calderón's problem is that as the offensives have failed to deliver even a substantially lower murder rate, let alone a "victory", his authority has waned.

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