Conga is taking its toll on President Ollanta Humala. Compelled to conduct an extensive cabinet reshuffle in the first half of December [WR-11-50], Humala sank beneath 50% support for the first time in national opinion surveys by local pollsters Datum and Ipsos Apoyo released later that month – from this point the trajectories of his two predecessors, Alan García and Alejandro Toledo, were sharply downwards.
Humala fell nine percentage points in both polls, to 48% and 47% respectively, on the previous surveys in November, although support for the Conga project, with some modifications, was not too bad in the Datum survey at 42%. This poll was fascinating because it showed that Humala’s post-electoral support is the mirror image of his pre-electoral support. His approval rating was highest, at 51%, among members of the highest social-economic stratum ‘A’, which reflects equally the pleasant surprise of the rich and the mounting disenchantment of the poor, although 48% of the very poorest Peruvians, stratum ‘E’, still support him.
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