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Weekly Report - 08 October 2009 (WR-09-40)

COLOMBIA: Uribe's re-election looks secure

President Alvaro Uribe would win 63% of the vote if he is permitted to stand in next May's elections, according to a survey by the pollster Ipsos. His rivals would not even muster 20% between them - a sobering thought for Gustavo Petro and Rafael Pardo, the two men who emerged triumphant from the party primaries of the Partido Liberal (PL) and Polo Democrático Alternativo (PDA) on 27 September. Not only were 70% of respondents in agreement with re-election but half favoured indefinite re-election, and a huge 47% felt Uribe was the only political leader capable of putting Colombia on the right path. This means a referendum on re-election would pass comfortably, assuming the constitutional court raises no objections.

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