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Weekly Report - 10 September 2015 (WR-15-36)

ARGENTINA: Tucumán vote recount raises fears over election

Four recent opinion polls in Argentina have shown how difficult it currently is to predict whether the presidential election on 25 October will go to a second round. Three predict a run-off between Daniel Scioli, the candidate from the ruling Frente para la Victoria (FPV) faction of the Partido Justicialista (PJ, Peronists), and Mauricio Macri, the candidate from the centre-right opposition Propuesta Republicana (PRO); while one forecasts outright victory for Scioli in the first round. A few fractions of a percentage point either way could make the difference, meaning that there is now renewed scrutiny over the electoral process, particularly following the recount of the vote in the province of Tucumán.

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