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Weekly Report - 11 January 2018 (WR-18-01)

MEXICO: López Obrador buoyed by rivals’ travails

Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the early frontrunner in the presidential race concluding on 1 July, is in a strong position to extend his lead. This is not because of anything that he has done but rather because of developments damaging the prospects of his principal rivals: Ricardo Anaya and José Antonio Meade. A prominent defection from the right-wing Partido Acción Nacional (PAN) underscores the difficulties Anaya faces to preserve any kind of unity between disaffected factions within the broad coalition for which he is standing. The combination of a corruption scandal uncovered in the northern state of Chihuahua and the highest annual inflation rate since the turn of the millennium will hit the federally ruling Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI), harming Meade.

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