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Weekly Report - 28 April 2011 (WR-11-17)

ECUADOR: Fifth victory in five years?

It is difficult to see anything stopping President Rafael Correa on 7 May from registering his fifth electoral triumph in the five years since he came to power in January 2007. His government looks like comfortably winning the referendum on constitutional and legal reforms: according to a survey by Cedatos Gallup, 62% of 3,750 respondents would vote “yes" and 38% “no" in the referendum. The figures closely reflect the approval rating of Correa, confirming that the government has succeeded in its tactic of making the vote a plebiscite on him rather than a debate on the desirability of the respective reforms. Only 16% of respondents know anything about the 10 questions in the referendum, according to Cedatos.

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