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Caribbean & Central America - May 2019

GUYANA: Good growth, but maybe not enough

The timing of the political cycle, with an election due by May 2020 at the latest, and maybe earlier depending on legal challenges related to the 21 December no confidence motion (NCM), is less than optimum for the ruling A Partnership for National Unity (Apnu) coalition. Finance Minister Winston Jordon has been reluctant to spend lavishly ahead of the coming oil bonanza, which should start in 2020, and a late splurge now may be too late to persuade disillusioned Afro-Guyanese (and Amerindian swing voters) to come out in the numbers required to prevent the East Indian-supported Progressive People’s Party/Civic (PPP/C) returning to power.

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