Weekly Report - 06 October 2022 (WR-22-40)

Brazil’s election demonstrates resilience of Bolsonarismo

All opinion polls conducted by widely recognised research institutes in Brazil suggested that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003-2011) of the leftist Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) would win with a comfortable advantage of 10-17 percentage points over President Jair Bolsonaro, from the Partido Liberal (PL), in the elections on 2 October. Some surveys even suggested that Lula could reach over 50% of valid votes, enough to win an outright victory in the first round. But Bolsonaro fared much better, both in the presidential race and in the congressional elections, showing the strength and resilience of his conservative movement.

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