Latin American Weekly Report
Weekly Report - 13 February 2025 (WR-25-06)
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- Noboa to face González in run-off after photo finish
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Petro loses top ministers as cabinet row deepens
- VENEZUELA: Deportation flights begin
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- PARAGUAY: Corruption scandal rocks system
- BRAZIL: Transparency concerns over congress budgetary grants
- BRAZIL: Semi-presidentialism debate reignited
- ARGENTINA: Election suspension a boon for Milei
- TRACKING TRENDS
MEXICO
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum responds to more US tariffs
- MEXICO: CDMX shooting raises concerns
- TRACKING TRENDS
CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
- REGION: Is an inverse migrant flow possible?
- EL SALVADOR: Bukele bashes USAID
POSTSCRIPT
- Former lawmaker assassinated in Peru
- Quotes of the week
Ecuador’s presidential elections will go to a second round on 13 April.
Weekly Report - 06 February 2025 (WR-25-05)
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- Rubio visit marks regional reset
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- COLOMBIA: Ministers walk out on Petro after cabinet broadcast
- VENEZUELA: Limited thaw in relations with Washington?
- ECUADOR: Noboa aligns with Trump ahead of elections
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Milei to pull out of WHO
- BRAZIL: Moderate conservatives win congress leadership race
- CHILE-VENEZUELA: Diplomatic rift deepens
- TRACKING TRENDS
MEXICO
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum buoyant as US suspends tariffs
POSTSCRIPT
- Boluarte conducts mini reshuffle amid corruption claims
- Quotes of the week
Mulino, who described the meeting with Rubio as “respectful and cordial” and said it should help “to increase as much as possible US investments in Panama”, insisted that Panama’s sovereignty over the Canal is not in question.
Weekly Report - 30 January 2025 (WR-25-04)
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- Petro incurs Trump’s wrath
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- VENEZUELA: More elections, less credibility
- ECUADOR: Noboa closes in on re-election
- TRACKING TRENDS
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Pension breakthrough for Boric
- ARGENTINA: Milei blasts “woke ideology” at Davos
- BRAZIL: Lula’s disapproval surpasses approval rating
- TRACKING TRENDS
MEXICO
- MEXICO: Sinaloa reaches breaking point
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum guns for GM corn ban
- TRACKING TRENDS
CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
- EL SALVADOR: Bukele positioned on Trump’s migration good side
- PANAMA: Mulino defends ownership of the Canal
- TRACKING TRENDS
POSTSCRIPT
- Morales allies prepare to form new party in Bolivia
- Quotes of the week
Colombia’s President Gustavo Petro has come away with a bloody nose after he attempted to push back against US President Donald Trump’s forceful early moves on migration.
Weekly Report - 23 January 2025 (WR-25-03)
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- Petro declares war on the ELN
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- VENEZUELA: Seeking a Trump 2.0 deal?
- ECUADOR: Noboa weathers criticism in scrappy debate
- PERU: Explosion at the prosecutor’s office
- TRACKING TRENDS
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- CHILE: Matthei makes bold bid to unite right
- ARGENTINA: Milei gets surplus boost
- BRAZIL: Rocky road ahead for new COP30 president
- BRAZIL: Lula tells cabinet 2026 elections have begun
MEXICO
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum responds as Trump gets down to work
CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
- PANAMA: Mulino sets out defence of Canal
- TRACKING TRENDS
POSTSCRIPT
- Bukele not bullet-proof
- Quotes of the week
The troubled peace process between Colombia’s government and the Ejército de Liberación Nacional (ELN) guerrilla group moved closer to total collapse on 16 January when the ELN launched a major offensive in the north-eastern department of Norte de Santander.
Weekly Report - 16 January 2025 (WR-25-02)
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- Maduro’s inauguration leaves opposition facing bleak future
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- ECUADOR: Noboa curtails leave of absence
- BOLIVIA: Morales skips court date as supporters rally
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Buoyed by economy, Milei eyes political challenges
- BRAZIL: Inflation concerns weigh on government
- CHILE: Boric ups subsidies, agrees pension compromise
- TRACKING TRENDS
MEXICO
- MEXICO: Sheinbaum celebrates first major milestone
- MEXICO: Plan México seeks to please Trump, private sector
CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
- CUBA: Thaw before the big freeze?
- HAITI: Barbados backs out as crisis deepens
POSTSCRIPT
- Fujimori wins reprieve in money laundering trial
- Quotes of the week
Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro was sworn in for a third six-year term on 10 January.
Weekly Report - 09 January 2025 (WR-25-01)
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- Venezuela’s election dispute reaches endgame
ANDEAN COUNTRIES
- ECUADOR: Vice president replaced as campaign period begins
- COLOMBIA-PARAGUAY: Prison murder upsets criminal investigations
BRAZIL & SOUTHERN CONE
- ARGENTINA: Milei’s chainsaw still revving in second year
- CHILE: Boric’s Antarctic trip eclipsed by botched Allende deal
- BRAZIL: Notable absentees at capital riots anniversary
- BRAZIL: Opportunities at the helm of Brics
MEXICO
- MEXICO: State airline in trouble
- MEXICO: Escalating violence in Tabasco
CENTRAL AMERICA & CARIBBEAN
- EL SALVADOR: Congress repeals mining ban
- SURINAME: Bouterse’s death could influence elections
- HONDURAS: Former coup leader arrested
- GUATEMALA: Arévalo lifts minimum wage
- TRACKING TRENDS
POSTSCRIPT
- Murillo gives firm response to Trump over Panama Canal
- Quotes of the week
Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro seems all but certain to be sworn in for a third term on 10 January despite a final push by the political opposition to try and encourage a military rebellion against his leadership.