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Tren de Aragua
The context: a country in a state of collapse
If, as an academic exercise, anyone wished to identify the social conditions that might most contribute to a crime wave, looking at Venezuela over the last decade might be a good place to start. In terms of GDP, the economy has suffered a truly world-leading collapse. Between 2014 and 2021 GDP dropped by 75-80% according to reliable estimates. A fragile recovery has been seen across the last four years, but the economy remains little more than one quarter of its size ten years ago.
- “Very, very dangerous people”
- The context: a country in a state of collapse
- Origins: Tocorón prison
- A dystopian hotel?
- The prison business model
- Death of the Tren?
- Life after death: international expansion
- The Ronald Ojeda story
- Donald Trump’s ‘invasion model’
- Unfair deportation: the Kilmar Abrego story
- Is there a connection between crime and migration?
- Conclusion: answering four key questions