The finance ministry is about to send the 2004 budget to congress. It has leaked
the highlights. These include an assumption that the state oil company,
Petróleos de Venezuela, will produce an average of 2.8m bpd at an average price
of US$18.5 a barrel. This is US$2.50 above the price forecast in the budget for
this year: the actual average export price in the first nine months of the year
was US$24.56 a barrel. This higher-than-expected price has enabled the
government to keep its spending promises despite the collapse of the economy.
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