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Security & Strategic Review - March 2012 (ISSN 1741-4202)

VENEZUELA: First high-profile incidents ahead of election

In August 2011 the International Crisis Group (ICG) warned of the risk of an upsurge in political violence in Venezuela in the run-up to the 7 October 2012 presidential elections. Signs that this could happen began to appear in November, when shots were fired at an opposition legislative candidate, and in March, when a group led by the opposition presidential candidate, Henrique Capriles Radonski, was also fired upon. Even more in evidence has been the government’s ambiguity towards armed groups that both adopt a radical pro-Chávez stance and engage in criminal activity.

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