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Weekly Report - 07 June 2012 (WR-12-22)
MEXICO: López Obrador closes gap but by how much?
A poll released by the national daily Reforma sent political shockwaves through Mexico last week by suggesting that Enrique Peña Nieto, the clear frontrunner ahead of presidential elections on 1 July, was in a dead heat with Andrés Manuel López Obrador. The poll almost certainly overstated support for López Obrador, the candidate for the left-wing coalition led by the Partido de la Revolución Democrática (PRD), but it was indicative of an unmistakable trend borne out by two other polling firms: López Obrador’s support is increasing as that of Peña Nieto, the candidate for the main opposition Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI), gradually falls. This will add some spice to the second television debate on 10 June by raising doubts over whether Peña Nieto’s victory is a formality.
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