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Weekly Report - 11 February 2010 (WR-10-06)

BRAZIL: What will Lula do with Ciro Gomes?

The most recent opinion poll shows that President Lula da Silva's chosen political heir, Dilma Rousseff, has cut into the lead of the likely opposition candidate, José Serra, in Brazil's presidential race. But, the poll continued to show that the presidential election would only go to a run-off vote if Ciro Gomes, one of Lula's most awkward allies, remains in the race. That, however, would split the governing coalition and prevent Lula from turning the election into a plebiscite on his popular administration - a tactic he considers essential to boost Rousseff's chances of winning. 

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