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  • Colombia nabs Farc money man

    04 August 2010 Hits: 204

    Development: On 3 August agents from the intelligence service (DAS) captured Pedro Pablo Tobar Delgado, allegedly the chief financial officer  for the eastern part of the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (Farc).

    Significance: Tobar, who was captured in Bello, Antioquia, (so some way from his usual area of operations), is alleged to run the financial side of the Farc's operations in the east of the country. He was responsible for property deals, ranching and laundering the proceeds of the Farc's drug trafficking operations.

    Tobar is also supposed to look after the personal finances of Mono Jojoy, the commander of the Farc's eastern operations and to have managed the Farc's relations with the Norte del Valle gang which trafficked drugs out of Colombia.

    Mono Jojoy, whose real name is Ví­ctor Julio Suárez Rojas is supposed to be planning to disrupt the inauguration of President Juan Manuel Santos on 7 August.

  • Brazil, Honduras, Mexico, Peru

    10 September 2010 Hits: 193

    Brazil: The finance minister, Guido Mantega, promised to take action before the end of September to lower the value of the Real against the dollar. Currently the Real is at R$1.72 against the dollar.

    Honduras: The Honduran government has signed an agreement with the Chinese transnational Sinohydro to construct three hydroelectric plants on the Patuca river. The three plants are expected to jointly produce 524 MW.

    Mexico: Inflation in August was 0.28%, bringing the rate for the past 12 months to 3.68%.

    Peru: The central bank raised interest rates half a point to 3%, the fifth consecutive increase, citing strong growth.

  • Central America's tourist sector rebounds

    26 October 2010 Hits: 1550

    Development: On 19 October, at the VII Central American Travel Market Fair (CATM) held in Antigua, Guatemala, the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) announced that tourism in Central America had increased by 8.1% - a higher growth rate than the recorded world average of 7% - between January and August 2010 in comparison to the same period last year.
     
    Significance:   In 2009, tourism in Central America suffered as a result of the global financial crisis and the bad press resulting from the military coup in Honduras. Some countries experienced as much as a 9% decrease in the number of foreign visitors who either did not have enough money or were too scared to travel to the region.
     
    The announcement is good news for the overall regional economy, which is still recovering from the extensive damage caused by heavy rains this year. Tourism is one of the main economic motors in the region as it has the potential to attract new investments and promote growth.

    In Nicaragua and Guatemala, for example, two of the worst hit by the rains, investment in tourism during the first six months of the year has increased by 11.8% and 12.5% respectively. Panama is also experiencing what has been termed as a “hotel boom" with next year's inauguration of the Trump Ocean Club International Hotel and Tower, touted as being the largest building in Latin America, to be followed by the opening of the Westin Hotel and Hard Rock Hotel & Casino both scheduled for 2012.
     
    According to the UNWTO regional director, Carlos Voleger, 7.4m foreigners visited Central America between January and August this year, prompting tourism figures to go up in virtually every country, including Honduras which experienced a 91% increase in cruise ship arrivals after it had suffered a 70% decline following the ousting of President Manuel Zelaya in 2009. However, Voleger stated that in order for this growth to continue, it is necessary to improve airport accessibility and to implement an 'open skies' policy in the region. He also pointed out that tourism “is very sensitive" to violence, and urged efforts to improve security in the region.    

  • Peru's second round saga continues

    08 December 2010 Hits: 274

    Development: On 6 December, a day after the second round of regional elections, six results were formally declared.

    Significance: The second round results are a mixed bag: of the 10 run offs, three regional presidencies went to national political parties, whilst the other seven were won by small independent regional parties. The expected final outcome is that independent regional movements will have 20 regional presidencies, with just five going to established national parties, reinforcing Peru's fragmented political scenario.

    One of the national parties to get a look-in in the second round was Alianza Para el Progreso (APP). APP won two seats: Lambayeque, which was wrested from the ruling Partido Aprista Peruano (PAP) - the only second round win which the PAP figured - and Ayacucho. This is good news for the new five-way alliance, Alianza por el Gran Cambio, whose April 2011 presidential candidate is a former economy minister under Alejandro Toledo (2001-2006), Pedro Pablo Kuczynski (PPK). PPK commands about 3% in the pre-presidential polls currently, but the national reach of the others in the alliance means that there is room for his support to grow.

    The Alianza includes: the Partido Popular Cristiano (PPC), led by Lourdes Flores; Alianza Para el Progreso (APP), led by César Acuña; Restauración Nacional (RN), led by Humberto Lay; and Movimiento Humanista Peruano (MHP), led by the former regional president of Lambayeque, Yehude Simón.

    Former president Alejandro Toledo's party, Perú Posible, was edging towards victory in Huánuco at the last count. This is would be an indirect win for Toledo via his alliance with Somos Perú. According to local pollsters Datum, Toledo is now leading the presidential race with 26% of voting intentions.

  • Venezuela's Chávez threatens BBVA

    27 January 2011 Hits: 369

    Development: On live TV on 27 January President Hugo Chávez threatened Pedro Rodrí­guez, the executive president of BBVA Banco Provincial, the country's third largest bank by assets, with expropriation if the bank didn't help deliver on low income housing projects. The bank later issued a statement vowing to work with the government.

    Significance: Chávez , who is seeking re-election in 2012, has made housing his main priority for 2011, after the recent floods emergency displaced over 25,000 families. The government is under pressure for failing, despite repeated promises by the president over the past decade, to tackle the country's acute housing deficit. Chávez blames private construction firms and past governments, but the government's average new build of 34,000 units a year in the last five years is down by more than a third on the previous government.

    Key points:

    Chávez wants to see 100,000 units built this year. A new enabling law for urban lands will allow the government to seize designated 'idle' or 'underused' urban plots for housing purposes. In November 2010, the government expropriated five housing projects in Caracas and took temporary control of 33 others, promising to deliver 11,000 of 17,000 homes still pending completion. The government hopes to boost the depressed economy via public construction projects.

    Live on air, the president telephoned Rodrí­guez after a local woman complained that the bank had still not released the funds to complete a housing complex (Residencial San José de El Ávila). Residents claim they have been defrauded by a construction company. Chávez sternly told him that if the bank didn't cooperate, the government would simply buy it. Rodrí­guez apparently countered that the bank was not for sale, at which point Chávez threatened to expropriate it. “Either you obey the law or hand the bank over to me_I'm not going to argue with you Pedro", he declared, noting he didn't like his “arrogant" tone. The bank later released a statement reiterating its “commitment to remaining in the country and contributing to Venezuelan society's progress".

    BBVA Banco Provincial has assets of some BF48.2bn (US$11.2bn), and is the fourth largest bank by deposits, with 12.2% of the total in 2010. Spain's BBVA owns 55.14% of the bank. In May 2009, Chávez nationalised Banco de Venezuela, one of the top three banks in the country, from Spain's Grupo Santander (paying US$1.04bn). The government also took over/closed about a dozen small banks in late 2009. The state now controls approximately 30% of the local sector, more than any privately held bank. Despite an unstable operating environment and government-imposed lending obligations, the local banking sector initially boomed under Chávez , as the government flooded the economy with oil money. A late 2010 new banking law makes it easier for the government to intervene in the sector and obliges banks to assign 5% of profits to grassroots social groups. Total assets in the banking system amounted to about US$94bn at end-2010.

    Chávez said yesterday that he wanted to be “an intermediary" between the demands of the public and the state institutions. This is very telling of the president's lack of trust in the inefficient state institutions, which have become bloated and (even more) corrupt on his watch. The president appears to trust few of his own officials and he regularly steps in to micro-manage problems when they threaten to blow up politically. This was the case with the banking crisis in 2009, the electricity crisis last year, the floods crisis in late 2010 and now the housing and agriculture crises. This institutional weakness is one of the most urgent problems in the Bolivarian Revolution, which has encountered serious problems at the point of delivery, leading to mounting public frustration and disillusion. The president, however well meaning his promises of social justice, has simply been unable to surmount this managerial issue, despite throwing billions of petro-dollars at it over the past decade.

    Pointer: Along with housing, agriculture, another sector in crisis despite government intervention, is another government priority this year. On Tuesday (25 January), the president announced the 'Agriculture Sector Assistance Enabling Law' to condone/restructure the estimated US$10.3m debt owed by farmers affected by the floods emergency. The food minister, Carlos Osorio, announced the same day that the government would import basic food from China to boost strategic food reserves to three months. Foods will include cereals, black and white beans and soya oil. Venezuela imports some 70% of its food.

  • Honduras backtracks on Unasur

    17 March 2011 Hits: 450

    Development: On 16 March the deputy foreign minister Alden Rivera formally denied that Honduras has any plans to close diplomatic missions in Southern Cone countries, correcting earlier statements by Foreign Minister, Mario Canahauti.

    Significance:   In a press statement, the foreign ministry clarified that “no diplomatic missions are being closed in the Southern Cone" and stressed that the government led by President Porfirio Lobo has as its foreign policy objective “strong and friendly relations with the entire concert of nations in the international community".  

    Canahauti's mis-step is odd, particularly at this juncture, when Honduras is painstakingly building up its case for readmission into the main hemispheric body, the Organization of American States (OAS), from which it was suspended after the June 2009 coup. A veteran politician, businessman and a former ambassador to the US, he has been instrumental over the past year in securing support for the Lobo government abroad.

    Key points:

    Rivera stressed that Canahauti's comments had been badly interpreted, noting that in some cases local diplomatic missions were “out of operation" pending the restoration of normal diplomatic relations with local governments.   Led by Brazil, nine of the 12 members of the Union of South American Nations (Unasur) have yet to recognise the Lobo administration. Following a meeting in Brasí­lia on 22 February with the OAS Secretary General, José Miguel Insulza, President Dilma Rousseff stuck to that line, saying that Brazil would not take a position on Honduras until the situation of the ousted former president Manuel Zelaya (2006-2009) is resolved.

    Brazil, along with Argentina and the Venezuela-led Alianza Bolivariana para los Pueblos de Nuestra América (Alba), is blocking the Insulza-led effort to lift the OAS suspension of Honduras, which would require 24 votes of the 33 current active members.

    Rivera noted that the Honduran consulate in Brazil “is operating normally", adding that Honduras has a commercial representative in Ecuador and Nicaragua. It doesn't have any representation in Argentina, Venezuela nor Jamaica currently, he said.

  • How US policy will change after Valenzuela

    06 May 2011 Hits: 468

    Development: On 5 May Arturo Valenzuela, the US Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs, let it be known that he was resigning.

    Significance: Valenzuela is returning to academia: he left Georgetown University on a two-year leave of absence in 2009. His period as the chief US policy maker towards Latin America has seen a major change in the relationship, as President Barack Obama had promised. The US now has professional diplomats heading its missions across the region and reacts much more calmly to provocative behaviour by taunting presidents such as Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua and Hugo Chávez in Venezuela. The traditional US policy of treating Latin America as its “backyard" has ended. This change has an economic price, as the region's relationship with China has blossomed. Strategically, however, the region has preferred to integrate rather than to ally itself with rivals to the US.

    Key points:

    Under Valenzuela's successor, yet to be named, the US may well rethink and redesign the administration of its changing relationship with Latin America. Some academics in both Latin America and the US argue that the US's interests in South America are now very different from its interests in Mexico and the Caribbean Basin; and so the US should treat each region differently. In South America, the key relationship is with Brazil, where Valenzuela's predecessor, Tom Shannon, is the current ambassador.

    In the rest of South America, the US has mixed relations. Its close relationship with Colombia may end if the US congress fails to approve the 2006 free trade agreement. Colombia's President Juan Manuel Santos has hinted as much. The US already has noisily fraught relations with Bolivia, Ecuador and Venezuela, but this suits both parties and the supply of Venezuelan oil to the US has not been interrupted. Under Valenzuela, US relations with Argentina deteriorated but the Argentines do not blame Valenzuela's Chilean-birth for this: US relations with Chile are close, but it is worth noting that China has replaced the US as Chile's biggest export market thanks to China's apparently insatiable appetite for copper. 

    Mexico, Cuba and Haiti are Washington's big concerns in the region because each has domestic political implications for any US government. The Obama administration's big call in Mexico was to appoint a professional diplomat, Carlos Pascual, who specialised in dealing with failing states, as its ambassador. Pascual has had a dismal relationship with Mexico's embattled president, Felipe Calderón Hinojosa, for most of the past year. In March, Pascual said he was departing, but the US has yet to recall him or to appoint a successor. On 5 May, it was confirmed that Pascual will leave Mexico at the end of the month and will become a special envoy for energy affairs at the US State Department.

    Our prediction is that the next US ambassador to Mexico will have to be a political appointee. Mexico, and the US, face presidential elections in 2012. The US will need someone in Mexico with the political clout to get the attention of the White House, rather than just the State Department and Los Pinos, as the election heats up in Mexico and the next Mexican administration's security policy (especially on organised crime) becomes clearer. 

    The succession and possible transition in Cuba has major implications for the Cuban-American community in southern Florida, which has been a major battleground in US presidential elections.

    In Haiti, the Obama administration has invested a lot of effort (particularly in the form of former president Bill Clinton) but, as a sign of its weakening power, the US believes that Venezuela has outspent it in providing reconstruction aid. US policy in Haiti has been designed to prevent a humanitarian crisis producing an exodus of Haitians to Florida: perhaps Valenzuela's successor may try something more imaginative.

  • China the target as post-MFA era dawns

    26 May 2010 Hits: 4

    AsiaInt Economic Intelligence Review, April 2005

    Click here for full text:
    http://www.asiaint.com/arl/arl5907.asp
    - 1,088 words

    The removal of Multi-Fibre Agreement (MFA) quotas on 1 January this year has had an almost immediate effect in Asia, producing new tensions in global trade relationships. It is no surprise that China is the source of this: with its unbeatable labour costs and economies of scale its textile and apparel exports were expected to surge once the quotas were abolished. With trade data apparently confirming this prediction, the US and the EU are getting ready to re-impose "safeguard" quotas under the terms of China's entry to the World Trade Organization in 2001. Added to international pressure over the low value of the renminbi, the stage is set for increasingly acrimonious relations between China and its trade partners for the foreseeable future_

  • 20 October 2004

    20 October 2004 Hits: 86

    BRAZIL: US appeals against WTO's cut in subsidies

    HAITI: US lifts arms embargo

    MEXICO: Drugs bust in El Paso County, Texas

    NICARAGUA: State department offers Bolaños support

    US SEX TOURISM: Offenders may now be tried in the US

    VENEZUELA: US sends mixed messages

    BRAZIL
    The US government appealed against a WTO ruling that it had broken international trade rules by giving subsidies to cotton exporters. Last June the WTO ruled subsidies granted by the US government were in breach of international regulations. The decision was taken after Brazil complained to the WTO that subsidies given to US exporters were harming Brazilian cotton producers. In its complaint, Brazil argued that the US had only managed to maintain its position as the biggest global cotton exporter because of government subsidies. Between 1999 and 2003, the US government supported cotton exporters with US$4.3bn of subsidies.

    HAITI
    The US lifted a 13-year arms embargo on Haiti on 15 October. The US State Department is keen to assist the beleaguered interim government of Gérard Latortue and the understaffed UN peacekeeping force, Minustah. Although the State Department said that 'restrictions on arms exports' to Haiti remained in place, they have technically been removed as the statement goes on to say that it would 'consider requests from the interim government.' Latortue has complained that the Haitian police force is unable to participate adequately with Minustah because it is ill-equipped to cope with the threat posed by the supporters of former president Jean-Bertrand Aristide, who have launched a wave of violent protests in the capital Port-au-Prince in recent weeks.

    MEXICO
    The US Drug Enforcement Administration claimed that law enforcement officers broke up a major Mexican drug ring on 19 October. It said that they seized US$11m and more than 5,000 lbs of cocaine in El Paso County, Texas as part of an investigation, codenamed Operation Choque, which has seen the arrest of 60 people across the US since 2002. Saúl Saucedo and two brothers, Miguel Angel Arriola-Márquez and Oscar Arriola-Márquez, were identified as the kingpins. They were arrested in Mexico.

    NICARAGUA
    The US State Department offered its support for Nicaragua's President Enrique Bolaños, who is struggling to preserve his position in the face of what, he claims, is a determined effort by the political opposition to remove him from power. The comptroller's office, which is stacked with members of the opposition, asked the National Assembly on 7 October to oust the president for not having disclosed the source of US$7m in what it says were presidential campaign funds. In a statement released at the weekend, US State Department spokesman Richard Boucher condemned the attacks as 'politically motivated attempts based on dubious legal precedent to undermine the constitutional order in Nicaragua and [Bolaños'] presidency.'

    US SEX TOURISM
    According to a survey conducted by the NGO World Vision in partnership with the US State Department, 80% of sex tourists to Latin America originate from the US. The study also revealed that 25% of tourists who exploit children sexually in the world are from the US. The worst affected areas in Latin America are Mexico, Costa Rica and the Dominican Republic. The State Department stepped up its campaign against sex tourism after the US congress approved a new law allowing US citizens to be tried in the US for sex offences committed against children while on holiday abroad. Since the new law came into force last year, seven US citizens have been extradited to the US to face trial.

    VENEZUELA
    The US State Department spoke out against a proposal that would make political activists in Venezuela subject to charges of treason if they receive domestic or foreign funding. 'We believe the proposal, if it becomes law, would criminalize the defense of human rights in Venezuela,' State department spokesman Richard Boucher said on 18 October. Boucher said that the US also had 'grave concerns' about proposed bans on certain forms of democratic protests and political expression, and restrictions on the Venezuelan media. At the same time, however, the US ambassador to Caracas, William Brownfield, was expressing his government's desire for closer bilateral ties. Brownfield stressed the need for better communications between the two governments 'to resolve problems and move forward on points of common interest'. It is difficult to believe Boucher's railing against Chávez in a State Department press conference is what the ambassador had in mind.

  • Washington Watch - 18 March 2010

    18 March 2010 Hits: 109

    Cuba: On March 8 the US treasury department announced changes to allow general licenses to export personal internet communications services. The move will permit US technology companies to export services such as instant messaging, e-mail and web browsing to Cuba, Iran and Sudan. “Consistent with the administration's deep commitment to the universal rights of all the world's citizens, the issuance of these general licenses will make it easier for individuals in Iran, Sudan and Cuba to use the internet to communicate with each other and with the outside world," the deputy treasury secretary Neal Wolin stated. On 15 March Josefina Vidal Ferreiro, the director of the Cuban foreign ministry's office for North American affairs, accused the US government of trying to destabilize Cuba."The government of the United States has said clearly that its objective is to use these services as a tool of subversion and destabilization," she said in a written statement. Vidal Ferreiro noted that the new measures would apply to individuals only, not businesses or institutions, and would do nothing to loosen the grip of the US economic embargo. In December 2009, a US contractor, Alan P. Gross, was arrested in Havana for allegedly handing out communications equipment to dissidents. Cuba accused him of spying. He remains in jail in Havana.

    El Salvador: On 16 March, the US and El Salvador signed a cooperation agreement giving El Salvador US$27m in economic aid. The funds will be administered by the US Agency for International Development (USAID. Thet money will be disbursed over two years and will be allocated to organizations specializing in training for women and young people in an attempt to ameliorate the effects of the world economic crisis on Salvadorian communities. Recipient programs will include the Urban and Rural Communities Solidarity project, the Temporary Program for the Support of Incomes (PATI) and several vocational training programs in 43 eligible municipalities.

    Mexico: On 13 March three people with links to the US consulate in Ciudad Juárez were killed in an apparently coordinated attack. The US has now authorized families working in six of the nine US consulates in Mexico to leave the country. The three victims in Ciudad Juárez were killed as they left a party hosted by another consulate employee. The two couples attacked had young children with them in their cars. Two US citizens, Lesley A. Enriquez, who worked for the consulate (and was four months pregnant), and her husband Arthur Haycock Redelfs, were killed after they were followed as they drove away from the party. Their seven-month-old baby was uninjured in the attack. The other victim was Jorge Alberto Salcido Ceniceros, whose wife works for the consulate. Two of their children were wounded in the attack. The US and Mexican governments both condemned the murders. The US ambassador to Mexico, Carlos Pascual, reaffirmed the US commitment to working “shoulder-to-shoulder" with the Mexican government “to break the power of the drug-trafficking organizations that far too often target and kill innocent people." President Barack Obama said that he was “deeply saddened and outraged" by the murders.

    Region: On 16 March, the US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) opened a new centre for the repatriation of immigrants at the Phoenix-Mesa airport in Arizona. The centre will process and house illegal immigrants awaiting deportation. According to the ICE, the creation of the new centre answers to Arizona's increasing needs. The state expects to repatriate 22,000 people this year, mainly to El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras. The majority of these would have been arrested whilst trying to cross the US-Mexico border or during police raids on safe houses, though there is also a significant number who will be deported after serving time in the US for crimes committed there. While Arizona has a large illegal immigrant population, it also processes people being repatriated by other states, using Arizona's well-established system.

  • 30 November 2007

    03 December 2007 Hits: 51

    FRIDAY

    NICARAGUA: President Daniel Ortega will inaugurate the Citizen Power Councils.

    SATURDAY

    BOLIVIA: Starting today, all US tourists must have a visa to enter Bolivia.

    GUATEMALA: President Alvaro Colom will return to Guatemala, after meeting the King of Spain.

    SUNDAY

    COLOMBIA: John Negroponte, US Deputy Secretary of State, and Tom Shannon, Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemisphere Affairs, will begin a ten day visit to Colombia.

    VENEZUELA: A referendum will take place over the constitution.

  • El Salvador to treat gangs as organised crime

    06 July 2006 Hits: 117

    The government of President Elí­as Antonio Saca is about to implement a new approach to its campaign against the 'mara' street gangs. Its key feature is that the gangs will henceforth be treated as manifestations of organised crime. It will also include the precise targeting of gangs on which police are able to collect enough evidence to ensure that charges can be filed against those arrested — an indirect admission that the judges have been right in arguing that releases of arrested suspects were usually inevitable because the police had furnished insufficient evidence.

    The new approach is part of a sweeping 'security master plan', a draft of which was submitted to President Saca on 13 June. Interior minister René Figueroa summarised its main objectives as 'selective captures of criminals, strengthening of police and prosecutorial investigation, and a sustained effort to reduce crime rates'.

    The decision to treat the gangs as manifestations of organised crime, together with legislation inspired by that of the US, is expected to allow the government to overcome the criticism that it is wrong to make mere membership in the gangs a crime, as well as provide an extra charge on which to prosecute gang members. The example cited by the police in support of this approach is that extortion, one of the crimes of which the gangs are most frequently accused, is a highly organised affair from which the gang leaders profit, but which involves the participation of many members.

    The antigang component of the new strategy has been partly heralded by a drive codenamed Plan 20-25, to mark its limited duration: launch on 20 May, conclusion by 25 June. It involved police targeting specific clicas (cells) of street gangs on which they had collected enough evidence to prosecute.

    The change of strategy takes place just as the five-month tally of homicides published by the Instituto de Medicina Legal (IML), which often comes up with higher figures than the police, shows a slight decline in the daily average — the media's favourite unit of measurement — from the same period last year (10.4 to 10.1). Taking into consideration the monthly ups and downs of monthly murder figures, it is likely that, barring a sudden surge, interannual comparisons will henceforth start showing more improvements.

  • Brazil & Southern Cone

    27 September 2004 Hits: 1

    President Nicanor Duarte is living up to his reputation as the most progressive head of state in Paraguay's history. On 25 September, Duarte's government signed an agreement with landless peasants promising 13,000 hectares of land in six departments in the west of Paraguay.

    Land reform has always been a thorny issue in Paraguay to which successive governments have turned a blind eye. It has burst onto the political agenda anew over the course of the last three months with peasants invading landowners' properties and accusing Duarte of reneging on electoral promises to address agrarian reform. They invaded 18 farms on 21 September.

    The government promised to provide 13,000 hectares of land in the departments of Alto Paraná, San Pedro, Caaguazú, Amambay, Misiones and Caazapá within a month. 'I know full well that if more Paraguayans have work and land of their own, the country will be better off. In our negotiations we have kept these issues in mind to find the best solution to an old problem,' Duarte told the Washington-based Council on Hemispheric Affairs (Coha) days earlier. 

    In return, peasants from the Frente Nacional por la Soberaní­a y la Vida promised to leave landowners' properties within two weeks and to conduct a peaceable dialogue with the government. Luis Aguayo, the leader of the coordinating table of national peasant organisations (MCNOC), which forms part of the Frente, said that the peasants would honour their agreements with the government to 'work together for the development of the country'. The government also acceded to another demand from the Frente, namely to supervise the law that prohibits the indiscriminate use of chemical products in farming. The MCNOC blames big soya producers for environmental damage and water pollution.

    • Paraguay has put in an extradition request for former dictator Alfredo Stroessner from Brazil. A judge has called for Stroessner, who held sway between 1954 and 1989, to be sent back to Paraguay to face charges of collusion in Operation Condor - a covert intelligence operation carried out by military dictatorships in the Southern cone in the 1970s targeting left-wing dissidents.
  • PEOPLE PROFILE: ALVARO COLOM

    14 November 2003 Hits: 217


    PEOPLE PROFILE is published every Tuesday and describes the professional background of key people emerging in the political and economic scenario.

    ------------------- ALVARO COLOM----------------------

    WHO IS ALVARO COLOM?

    Guatemala's presidential candidate for the left-of-centre Unidad Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE). He will compete in a run-off on 28 December after coming second to Oscar Berger of the right-of-centre Gran Alianza Nacional (Gana) on 9 November.

    Why watch him?
    He pipped retired General Efraí­n Rí­os Montt of the ruling Frente Republicano Guatemalteco (FRG) to the post. The other political parties have agreed to rally behind him in the run-off. Whether they stick to this promise when Berger starts offering inducements, however, remains to be seen.


    Born: 15 June 1951

    Place of birth: Guatemala

    Education: Industrial engineer. University of San Carlos, Guatemala

    Public life: President and founder of Grupo Mega. Executive director of legal assistance and conflict resolution (Contierra). Advisor to peace secretariat (Sepaz). Executive director of national peace fund (Fonpaz). Deputy economy minister under former President Alvaro Arzú.

    Timeline:
    1977-1982 Director of the chamber of trade and industry. Member of the consultative council of AGEXPRONT.
    1984 Founder of the Comisión Nacional de la Industria Maquiladora
    1990 Head of AGEXPRONT board of directors.
    1990 Vice-president of Guatemala's export union, delegate for private sector on the Comité Estratégico Textil.
    1996 Broker between the national council of Mayan elders and the Western world.
    1999 Member of the directorate of the Fundación para el Análisis y Desarrollo de Centroamérica, FADES.
    1999 Runs for the former guerrillas' Unidad Revolucionaria Nacional Guatemalteco (URNG) in the presidential elections.
    2003 Runs on the UNE ticket for presidential elections and comes second.

    Strong points: He is a candidate for the centre-left with a history of working in institutions defending human rights and indigenous rights. This is likely to make him a more popular choice than Berger, especially outside of the main urban areas. The UNE is a new party untarnished by links with the military during the civil war, unlike Guatemala's traditional parties.

    Weak points: Although he was never active with the guerrillas, his sympathies were with them and he ran for the URNG in the previous election. He is very unlikely to woo the business sector as Berger has been able to do. He could be hampered by his pronounced stammer as media scrutiny intensifies over the next month.

    Prospects: It all depends upon the alliances he manages to strike up. If the other parties rally behind him and if he can successfully court Rí­os Montt's support base he stands a very good chance of overturning Berger's ten percentage point advantage from the first round.

  • José Angel Córdova Villalobos, Mexico

    05 May 2009 Hits: 195

    Who is he? Córdova is Mexico's health minister

    Why watch him? Córdova is leading the government's response to the outbreak of the AH1N1 virus (swine flu) which triggered a Level 5 influenza pandemic warning from the World Health Organisation (WHO). The scale runs to Level 6. The WHO had never previously moved beyond a Level 3 warning.

    Date of Birth: 19 August 1953, León, Guanajuato

    Education:  Córdova qualified as a surgeon from the University of Guanajuato (1970-1975). He also has a Master's in Public Administration from the University of Guanajuato (1998-2000). He has also worked on nutrition issues and is an experienced university administrator. 

    Public Life:  President of the Guanajuato electoral commission from 1997 to 2002. Córdova was a federal deputy from 2003 to 2006 and chaired the lower chamber's health committee. His record in congress prompted President Felipe Calderón to select him as his health minister when he took office in 2006.

    Time Line:

    1990-1997: Director of the Medicine Faculty of the University of Guanajuato.

    1992 to 1997: Editor of the Revista Mexicana de Educación Médica.

    1994: Adviser on the state elections committee (IEEG) in Guanajuato.

    1995-1996: President of the Undergraduate Surgical Education Commission of the Mexican Association of General Surgery.

    1998 to 2000: Director of the Academy of Professors and Students of Medicine.

    1997 to 2002:  President of the state elections commission (IEEG) in Guanajuato.

    2002 to 2006: Head of the Medical Education Division of the Hospital Ángeles and full-time professor at the Medicine Faculty of the University of Guanajuato.

    2003 to 2006: Federal deputy for the ruling Partido Acción Nacional (PAN).

    Strengths: Córdova has been effective in bringing the outbreak of the AH1N1 virus under some sort of control. His decisions to emphasise the wearing of face masks, and to close schools in Mexico City immediately the outbreak was confirmed, were bold. So also were his requests that football matches be played for TV audiences only and that most public events be cancelled. He also mandated the closure of bars and restaurants and discouraged gatherings of over 40 people.

    Popularising face masks, which probably have only limited effectiveness against the virus, was an imaginative move, especially in a developing country with low standards of public hygiene. The concomitant appeal to people to also wash their hands more often was probably more effective than the masks, though the masks provided visual evidence that the government was doing something to curb the outbreak and allowed the government to retain the initiative. The closure of schools on 23 April in Mexico City was another equally dramatic gesture.

    Córdova's professorial manner and scrupulous approach to the statistics has allowed the government to gain the benefit of the doubt over its strategy for combating the virus. He has been measured in what he has said to the press and did not forget to visit the sick in hospital.

    Weaknesses: There is some evidence that the government was slow in providing anti-viral medicines, but this caution was probably justified. The government had to be sure about the disease it was fighting before providing drugs.

    Prospects: Córdova's future political career largely depends on what happens to the current outbreak. In early May the death toll and infection rate appeared to be stabilising. The health minister refused to panic and worked immensely long hours, reassuring the public and liaising with national and international health officials to bring the outbreak under some sort of control. The danger is that pandemics come in waves, each bigger than the last, as the virus mutates.

    However, Córdova impressively coordinated response demonstrated to the US in particular that Mexico is not a failed state.

    This success will boost his political standing at home and may mean that he could become a candidate to succeed President Calderón in 2012. The ruling PAN is distinctly lacking a candidate to succeed Calderón, who cannot run again in 2012 under Mexico's one-term limit. Moreover, Córdova's origins in Guanajuato, the home state of the former president Vicente Fox (2000-2006), mean that he is potentially well placed to reunify the fractured PAN, which is riven by open feuding between supporters of Fox and Calderón.

  • HAITI: Martelly delays resurrection of the armed forces

    02 June 2011 Hits: 234

    Newly elected President Michel Martelly had campaigned on a pledge to revive Haiti's armed forces, demobilised by thrice former president Jean-Bertrand Aristide in 1995. Former soldiers and would-be new soldiers had been training for the event. Half a month after his investiture, however, Martelly had not made a move in this direction. This is at least partly because manoeuvres by the outgoing congress have left Haiti unsure about the validity of their last-minute amendments to the 1987 constitution.

    In mid-April Martelly had said that Haiti needed ‘a modern army, with a strong corps of military engineers, capable of responding to natural disasters.' he also said that ‘[the UN stabilisation mission in Haiti] Minustah's presence on Haitian territory means that there is a need to create a force capable of keeping peace.' On 26 April, after a three-day trip to the US, he redefined his aim as creating ‘a force to be called Haiti's territorial defence force [which would] cost us US$10-15m, rather than the US$864m cost of Minustah.'

    Lest this be seen as the result of US pressure, US ambassador to Haiti, Kenneth Merten stated that the reinstatement of the armed forces had not been discussed at the meeting Martelly had held in Washington with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Martelly did say, though, that he had discussed the matter on 27 April with the outgoing head of Minustah, Edmond Mulet, at a meeting in which he had outlined his plans regarding public security.

    On 5 May, in an interview granted to the Dominican newspaper El Caribe, Martelly said, ‘It is urgent to take the necessary steps for us to have a modern army, an army to guard our borders, the drugs trade; an army capable of guarding our maritime boundaries, which could help in the case of catastrophes that cause chaos [...] The time has come for the Haitians to be able to take care of their own country.' The new military, he said, would be ‘a small number of people.'

    An organisation which claims to represent the demobilised military, the Coordination Nationale des Militaires Démobilisés des Forces Armées d'Haïti (Conamidh) had urged Martelly to move swiftly after this investiture on 14 May  to appoint a commander-in-chief of the army so that he could proceed to put in place his general staff. The organisation's coordinator-general, former Sergeant David Dormé, said that he would immediately place the ‘troops' he currently commands under the orders of the new commander, as would Conamidh's secretary-general, Sergeant Jean Fednel Lafalaise.

    Dormé suggested that new commander-in-chief should be a trained officer, moderate and sympathetic to the needs of the officer corps and the soldiers. The ideal candidate, he said, was Colonel Joseph Baguidy, who he presented as the former head of the ‘unforgettable antigang service'. Baguidy is best remembered as a head of the police's criminal investigations bureau who was once the chief suspect in the 1987 murder of presidential candidate Yves Volele and accused of being behind the death squads active in Port-au-Prince.

    As an alternative he suggested Major Dieunord Alexandre, who as executive secretary of the Association Militaire d'Haïti opposed President René Préval's intention to amend the constitution to formally dissolve the armed forces.

    Training for the event
    Dormé, who as spokesman for a group of ‘popular organisations, had publicly endorsed Martelly's candidacy, had been cited in reports about the groups of former soldiers and would-be members of a new army who had been training outside the capital [SSR-11-04].

    According to Jeb Sprague, who visited the ‘Lambi 12 Grande Saline' camp outside Port-au-Prince in March, training had been under way for more than one-and-a-half years, and that there were others near Cap Haïtien, Jérémie, Croix-des-Bouquets and other locations. He was told that the justice ministry had provided them with tents, some of them from Minustah, and that they had assurances that police chief Mario Andrésol would not interfere with them.

    Sprague also heard that the camps provided security firms with personnel, and that they were supported by members of the business élite. There were visible signs of Duvalierist sympathies, and he heard from former soldiers expressions of support for Martelly, ‘who has for many years held close ties with members of the military and paramilitaries.'

    The constitutional issue
    The urgency mentioned by Martelly before his investiture had not translated into any action by the end of May. One explanation offered by officials was that he was unsure of the validity of the amended constitution that came into effect when he was sworn in. The amendments had been approved by the outgoing congress on 9 May, after a 20-hour sitting, but when they were published in the official gazette, Le Moniteur, several senators noticed that the text did not match what congress had approved; it included provisions and language that nobody had seen before.

    An attempt was made to dismiss this as ‘errors' which could be overcome by simply publishing the correct text in Le Moniteur, but this had not happened up to the time of writing. Concern was aired in political circles about major political provisions in the constitution, but at least one source, Haïti Libre, suggested that the changes had affected the provisions regarding the armed forces.

    Contrary to widespread belief, the armed forces had never been written out of the constitution. President Jean-Bertrand Aristide had ordered their demobilisation in April 1995 by presidential decree, without seeking a constitutional amendment by congress — a procedure which many jurists consider invalid.

    When congress amended the 1987 constitution in September 2009, all it did was introduce a name change, inserting ‘army of Haiti' instead of ‘armed forces of Haiti', but did not remove the armed forces from the constitution. After the September 2009 vote, all that remained was ratification of the amendments by the following legislature, which is what was meant to have happened in May this year.

    The text of the amendments published in Le Moniteur retains the old name of Forces Armées d'Haïti. It includes nine apparent amendments to five articles mentioning the armed forces. One of these (Art. 264) says, ‘The armed forces of Haiti are constituted to guarantee the defence and integrity of the territory of the Republic.' The older text said instituted; the change is being interpreted as meant to strengthen the notion that the existence of the military is constitutional.

    The only other substantial change (Art. 267.1) is that any member of the military intending to run for an elective post must leave the service two years before the elections (previously only one year).

  • Brazil hits problems over Carrefour deal

    30 June 2011 Hits: 336

    Development: On 29 June Brazil's development, industry and trade minister, Fernando Pimentel, was criticised by opposition politicians for committing the state-owned Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Bndes) to a deal to takeover Carrefour's Brazilian arm.

    Significance: The deal would leave a Brazilian retailer, Pão de Açucar, with control of Carrefour's Brazilian supermarket business (now the second biggest in the country after Pão de Açucar's) and a stake in the French company's parent. Pimentel and the deal's backers see the merger as a way of boosting demand for Brazilian manufactured products.

    Key points:

    • Bndes will commit about R$4.5bn (US$2.8bn) to the complicated deal, which will leave the merged Pão de Açucar-Carrefour company with 2,386 stores in Brazil and  between 26% and 27% of all Brazilian supermarket sales.

    • Opposition politicians argue that the state development bank should not be getting involved in such a deal and that if Pão de Açucar needed a loan it could have got the money from the market.

    • The deal is far from done because Carrefour's biggest shareholder, Casino (with 39%) is unhappy. Casino thought it had a deal to take control of Pão de Açucar next year. The proposed Carrefour merger allows Pão de Açucar's chairman, Abilio dos Santos Diniz, to keep the company out of Casino's control.

  • Fujimori enlists surprise security advisor

    18 May 2011 Hits: 298

    Development: On 16 May the former mayor of New York, Rudolph Giuliani (1994-2001), arrived in Peru to boost the presidential candidate Keiko Fujimori's ‘dream team' of advisors.

    Significance: Keiko Fujimori has promised a tough stance on crime if elected. Rudolph ‘Rudy' Giuliani, who competed unsuccessfully in the US Republican party primaries in 2008, is credited with cleaning up Manhattan's streets via a no-nonsense, hard-line approach to criminality. Security is back on the campaign agenda in Peru's 5 June presidential run-off following a fatal ambush by the terrorist/narco-trafficking group Sendero Luminoso (SL) in the Apurímac and Ene River Valley (Vrae), one of two regions in which it still operates.

    Key points:

    • The attack, which took place on Sunday (15 May) morning, happened near a counter-terror military base, Unión Mantaro, in the Llochegua district of Huanta province, in the northern Ayacucho region. SL's Vrae contingent was allegedly behind the attack which left one soldier dead.

    • By bringing Giuliani on board, Keiko Fujimori is underlining that she has both rural and urban insecurity covered. In the first round of the election she invoked her father's security legacy. Former president Alberto Fujimori (1990-2000) is currently serving 25 years for human rights abuses and corruption, but on the Right he is also lauded for crushing the SL insurgency in the 1990s. However, as she seeks to capture more of the electorate ahead of the second round vote on 5 June, Keiko Fujimori can no longer trade too much on that legacy – hence her effort to surround herself with more ‘respectable' advisors.

    • Security is a major electoral concern. In a 15 May survey by Ipsos Apoyo, 31% of respondents said that they disapproved of President Alan García's latest term (2006-2011) because of high crime. Although Fujimori's rival, Ollanta Humala, hails from the Left, he is a former military officer who also takes a hard-line on security issues. According to the latest polls, both candidates remain on a technical tie.

  • VENEZUELA: Chavez tars Dominican leader with plot accusation

    09 July 2010 Hits: 1732

    Hugo Chávez appears to have succeeded in gaining another enemy: Dominican President Hipólito Mejí­a, whom he has accused of turning a blind eye to a plot being hatched in his country to assassinate him. 

    Chávez did not name the plotters, but made it quite clear who he was referring to. The conspiracy, he said, was being nurtured 'outside Santo Domingo in the house of the great capo.' Almost everyone instantly recognised this as an allusion to former Venezuelan President Carlos Andrés Pérez, who spends his self-imposed exile commuting between Santo Domingo, Miami and New York. 

    The Venezuelan President said he had informed Mejí­a personally of the plot, but that Mejí­a had 'made light' of it. For his part, Mejí­a said that neither he nor the Dominican intelligence services had any information about the affair - and that if Chávez had anything to tell him he should use diplomatic channels.

  • Quotes of the week...

    24 April 2007 Hits: 290

    "The concept of recession is quite complex and its interpretation is quite subjective."

    Roberto Olinto of Brazil's statistical office, Ibge, after figures showed two successive quarters of shrinking GDP.


    "If we don't have a [supreme] court that inspires trust, we won't have lower judges who act with a sense of justice."

    Nicanor Duarte, president of Paraguay, after suggesting that the supreme court should resign.


    "If it is possible to hold trials [where the crimes were committed] they should be held in that country. This is the principle of territoriality."

    Mariano Rajoy, vice-president of the Spanish government, when refusing to proceed with the extradition of Argentine `dirty warriors'.