Development: President Carlos Mesa issued a decree on 28 January for provincial gubernatorial elections to be held on June 12. What is not clear is first whether there will be a referendum on the degree of autonomy each of the country's nine departments will have, and secondly whether each department will be allowed its own assembly.
Significance: The protests in Santa Cruz were triggered by a fuel price increase on 30 December. At first the Santa Cruz protests were just against the fuel price increase, as were other protests across the nation. Quickly, however, the protesters lumped other issues onto their opposition to the rise in fuel prices. The government has been yielding to various protesters right through the month. On 11 January the government caved in to leftwing protests in El Alto, over a water-privatisation contract; then it rescinded most of the fuel price increase on 19 January and now it is letting the right-wing business elite in Santa Cruz determine the timetable for regional autonomy.
The government's strategy had been to push a new hydrocarbons law through congress and then move on to autonomy issues, after a constituent assembly in May or June had reformed the constitution. Now the hydrocarbons law is in limbo (approved in principle but not in detail by congress) and autonomy is at the centre of everyone's attention.
There are persistent rumours that the Comité pro Santa Cruz, which has led the drive for autonomy, is financed by the international energy companies which do not want the current, pro-business, hydrocarbons law changed.
What the Cruceños decided, by acclamation at a mass rally on 28 January, was that they wanted to elect their governor and also to set up a local assembly. Significantly, however, they stepped back from pushing on with unilateral elections for their governor: the elections will be nationwide and, presumably, under common rules. What is less clear is the status of the departmental assembly. It is not clear whether President Mesa has also given the go-ahead for nationwide elections for departmental assemblies. President Mesa still seems to envisage a constituent assembly to reform the constitution and, effectively, legalise what he has agreed.
The Comité pro Santa Cruz said at the mass rally on 28 January, which met the 300,000 person target the Comité had set, that it would set up a provisional autonomous assembly, which would shepherd the department towards the new elections for governor and the assembly. The Cruceños want this provisional assembly to be composed of the 25 elected (federal) deputies; the mayors of the 56 municipalities in Santa Cruz; the 23 members of the current departmental council and the leaders of the four indigenous groups in the department. Under the constitution there is no provision for departmental assemblies, let alone rules on who can sit in them.
President Mesa infuriated the Comité for trying to take some of the credit for the apparently peaceful transition towards greater regional autonomy. “What we have achieved despite some days of tension is a democratic solution within the bounds of the constitution," Mesa told Spanish-language CNN on 28 January. Rubén Costas, the current president of the Comité, said: “Mesa did nothing to help us organise the rally: indeed with his [hostile] positions, he helped to stimulate people to come to the rally, to protest and make this shout of anguish, feeling and yearning for autonomy."